Midweek CL

danlin · Nov 20, 2006

my first bet:

Arsenal - Hamburg under 2.5 @2.28
no doubt here that Arsenal will win this, but they seem to have some problems in scoring goals. Remember the agme vs. Moscow: Arsenal had Chances to win 5-0 but they didn't score ... :hammerit

Arsenal home in CL:
<table class="spTabellesys" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" height="53" width="509"> <tbody><tr><td class="spResultTableRow2">FC Arsenal - FC Porto </td><td class="spResultTableRow2">2:0 (1:0) </td></tr><tr><td class="spResultTableRow2">FC Arsenal - ZSKA Moskau </td><td class="spResultTableRow2">0:0</td></tr></tbody> </table>
Hamburgs last 4 games in german Bundesliga were
0:1,0:2,1:1,0:0

things I see:
Hamburg will not score here, Arsenal (if they convert their chances as usual ) will not score more than 2 goals. At least 50% chance for the under

Arsenal 2 Hamburg 0

rhinooooo · Nov 20, 2006

I've been looking at this pick for a while. It really stood out. I think its a good call considering the great odds, but Arsenal are too inconsistent for me. Like you say, they should be winning matches 5-0, so I keep thinking that one team is in for a beating soon. Hamburg have been poor in the Bundesliga with big injury problems, so I don't think they'll really be concentrating on Champs League as they can't qualify. If I grow some balls tomorrow, I might tail you.

Good luck mate

danlin · Nov 21, 2006

Some other bets:

real - lyon over 2.5 @2.3 ... great odds here, as both are scoring machines. Both already advanced to the next round and Real wants a revenge for the 0-2 in Lyon ... great setup for a very offensive game. 6/10

moscow - porto over 2.5 @3 (!!!) ... ok moscow is a real under-machine, but don't forget that this game has a characteristics like a final ... the winner takes it all. If one team scores, the other has to develop some pressure and open the defense. 1/10

AEK - milan exact score 0-1 @7.2, typical 0-1 game ... 0.5/10

:howdy:

HPark1 · Nov 21, 2006

You can't count on a team missing chances. If they're creating alot its only fair to assume they'll score at the standard rate on most occasions. Of course an exception was that last game against CSKA.

If they create similar chances as they did against CSKA tonight its alot more likely to be 5-0 than 0-0 or 2-0.

danlin · Nov 21, 2006

danlin said:
Arsenal - Hamburg under 2.5 @2.28 ... 4/10

real - lyon over 2.5 @2.3 ... 6/10

moscow - porto over 2.5 @3 (!!!) ... 1/10

AEK - milan exact score 0-1 @7.2 ... 0.5/10

Arsenal -4 units
real +7.8 units
moscow -1 unit (close ...)
AEK -0.5

porto had chance to make one more goal ... :realtongu
Arsenal bet was lost after 4 minutes ... hsv-goal killed it
AEK had the right score, but exchanged sides

sum +2.3 units
ytd : 2-3 +5.45 units

rhinooooo · Nov 21, 2006

Unlucky mate, but great call on the Madrid over!

danlin · Nov 22, 2006

Wednesday:

Donezk - AS Rom under 2.5 @1.9 2/10 expect a defensive game here as Rom is an italian Team :tongue2: and 1 Point is enough for them to advance ...

Donezk 1 Rom 1

Bremen - Chelsea over 2.5 @2.28 5/10 expect some action here ... both with a good offense ... every team will score, which makes the over possible.

Bremen 2 Chelsea 3

Valencia - Olympiakos Valencia (-1) @2.14 3/10 expect Valencia to win here as greek Teams are not in the same category as spanish Teams.

Valencia 3 Olympiakos 0

danlin · Nov 22, 2006

danlin said:
Wednesday:

Donezk - AS Rom under 2.5 @1.9 2/10

Bremen - Chelsea over 2.5 @2.28 5/10

Valencia - Olympiakos Valencia (-1) @2.14 3/10

Donezk +1.8 units
Bremen -5 units
Valencia +3.42 units
overall +0.22 units

uke1:

disappointed that chelsea didn't score here ... there was some action on this game, also Bremen with chances to score one more goal. The over was possible ...

ytd : 4-4 +5.67 units